Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000117 0.000130 0.000144 0.000160 0.000177 0.000196 0.000218
2025-11-23 0.000098 0.000116 0.000135 0.000159 0.000187 0.000220 0.000260
2025-11-30 0.000085 0.000105 0.000129 0.000159 0.000197 0.000244 0.000304
2025-12-07 0.000074 0.000095 0.000122 0.000158 0.000204 0.000264 0.000345
2025-12-14 0.000067 0.000090 0.000119 0.000161 0.000217 0.000291 0.000398
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000084 0.000116 0.000161 0.000226 0.000315 0.000448
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000079 0.000111 0.000160 0.000233 0.000335 0.000495
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000075 0.000110 0.000163 0.000244 0.000363 0.000554
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000071 0.000107 0.000163 0.000252 0.000386 0.000609
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000068 0.000104 0.000163 0.000258 0.000408 0.000663
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000064 0.000101 0.000162 0.000263 0.000427 0.000714
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000061 0.000098 0.000162 0.000270 0.000449 0.000772
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000058 0.000095 0.000161 0.000274 0.000468 0.000827
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000055 0.000093 0.000160 0.000280 0.000490 0.000890
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000053 0.000091 0.000160 0.000288 0.000515 0.000961
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000050 0.000088 0.000159 0.000291 0.000533 0.001021
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000087 0.000161 0.000303 0.000568 0.001116
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000162 0.000311 0.000596 0.001200
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000161 0.000316 0.000618 0.001275
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000164 0.000327 0.000655 0.001382
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000043 0.000082 0.000164 0.000335 0.000683 0.001475
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000041 0.000081 0.000164 0.000341 0.000709 0.001565
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000079 0.000163 0.000345 0.000731 0.001648